Kochi, Kerala: Dr Shiekha Elizabeth John, a scientist at the Ministry of Earth Sciences, on Tuesday warned that the small countries and islands are likely to face the extreme climate change consequences. She cautioned that no one can pull back from their responsibility from the imminent climate crisis while speaking at the plenary session of the Summit of Future 2025 held in Kochi on January 28.
During the event titled ‘Unified Pathways for a Greener Future,’ Shiekha John lamented she could not find enough words to explain how unfortunate it is that the world leaders are contradicting scientific fact and questioning the scientific credibility of the impacts. She points out that Kerala itself is an example of climate change as the state is now living in fear of each monsoon, which was not the case in the last decade.
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The warming that we saw from 2010 to 2018 is 1.1 degrees of, the scientist says, adding that it was unprecedented and multi-centurial scale. She says all the scientists are 100% sure that human interventions are very much responsible for the scenario.
Though there are several low-emission pathways, the world is going from bad to worse. For instance, she describes, if you consider one emission pathway as the lowest and five as the highest, even if we hit the one emission pathway, with the help of our climate dialogues and efforts, we are still looking at a 1.5-degree increase in the next 20 years, which is unimaginable. Notably, the works and commitment of the Paris Agreement are terribly a failure though, Shiekha John explains. “We cannot talk about greener pathways if we do not address climate change,” she asserts.
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“The issue is global; it does not see boundaries, as it is transnational. However, the impact can be very local and often different,” she said. Recalling a quote from a UN climate official, Shiekha John goes on to say that the least responsible countries for climate problems are the most vulnerable to their adverse impact. Though the world and everybody would face the consequences, it would not be fair as the weakest are the most vulnerable.
Stating that we are very clear on our commitments, Shiekha John asks whether every single country is equally committed, noting that currently, we have global powers pulling back on climate commitments.
Shiekha John then talked about India’s efforts to enhance our climate prediction potential, noting that the country is putting massive funding into expanding our atmospheric observations and satellite observations. The speaker adds another thing she wanted to highlight was from the AR6, the sixth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which scientifically evaluated the climate change. She said the Indian Institute of Tropical under the Ministry of Earth Science developed its first Indigenous Earth System Model (ESM), serving as one of the significant contributors to the AR6 from South Asia and establishing India’s climate modelling capacity among nations.
Reiterating that the world has not put its foot on the accelerator in addressing the climate concerns, Shiekha John concluded by saying, “There cannot be a future if you do not handle this issue.”