For the first time in Haryana’s history, a government has continued into its third term, with the BJP defying exit polls and securing a hattrick. The BJP won 48 seats, while Congress trailed behind with 37 in the 90-member assembly. INLD managed two seats, and independents secured three.

Despite predictions favouring Congress, here are the five key takeaways from this result:

1. BJP Survives Anti-Incumbency:

Despite anti-incumbency stemming from farmers’ protests, wrestler stirs, and unemployment, the BJP managed to retain around 40% of the vote share, an improvement from the previous election. Congress also saw a rise in its vote share to 39%, mainly due to a decline in support for smaller parties like the JJP and INLD.

2. Caste Politics:

A major factor in BJP’s win was its success in consolidating non-Jat votes. The party strategically secured support from Punjabis, OBCs, Brahmins, Rajputs, and other communities. The appointment of Nayab Singh Saini helped lock in OBC votes, while Manohar Lal Khattar’s position ensured support from the Punjabi Khatri community, driving the BJP’s performance.

3. Congress Infighting:

A visible rift between Congress leaders, including Bhupinder Singh Hooda and Kumari Selja, hurt the party. Selja distanced herself from campaigning, and post-results, called for internal introspection. The lack of unity and division in leadership is believed to have weakened the Congress’s efforts.

4. Congress Overconfidence:

Congress’s strategy leaned on overconfidence, especially after the Lok Sabha results. The party appeared unprepared for the BJP’s organisational strength and grassroots efforts, especially in key seats.

5. Rebels and Booth Management:

Congress rebels played a critical role in splitting anti-BJP votes. Candidates like Chitra Sarwara, who contested independently, took a significant portion of the vote, helping the BJP secure seats. Additionally, the BJP’s efficient booth management led to claims from Congress of counting malpractice and EVM manipulation.

Meanwhile, as a jubilant BJP is all set to form the government, most probably under the leadership of Nayab Singh Saini, the Congress has refused to accept the result, citing concerns over EVM tampering and alleging discrepancies in the counting process.