(Note this: Exit polls had been wrong in the past, for example recently during the last Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir assembly elections. This is a news report on how pollsters predicted the election outcome in Maharashtra and Jharkhand) Exit polls have revealed a tightly contested battle in Maharashtra and Jharkhand as political alliances vie for control of the state assemblies. In Maharashtra, the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance appears poised to retain power, while in Jharkhand, the BJP-led NDA and the JMM-Congress alliance are in a close contest. Variations in predictions reflect the complexity of these elections, influenced by recent political upheavals and regional issues. While the Mahayuti is expected to comfortably cross the majority mark in Maharashtra, Jharkhand’s outcome remains uncertain, with no clear consensus among pollsters. The final results will be announced on November 23, potentially redefining political dynamics in both states.
Exit Polls Predictions For Maharashtra, Jharkhand: 10 Points
1. The Mahayuti alliance is expected to secure 150–170 seats in Maharashtra, as per Matrize, surpassing the majority mark of 145 in the 288-seat assembly.
2. The Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) is predicted to win 110–130 seats, showing a strong opposition presence but insufficient for a majority.
3. Aggregates of various exit polls indicate Mahayuti could claim around 158 seats in Maharashtra, while the MVA might secure approximately 123 seats.
4. In Jharkhand, Matrize predicts the BJP-led NDA will win 42–47 seats, crossing the halfway mark of 40 for a clear majority.
5. The Times Now-JVC poll projects a close race in Jharkhand, with the NDA likely to win 40–44 seats and the INDIA bloc close behind with 30–40 seats.
6. Axis My India forecasts a strong performance by the JMM-Congress alliance in Jharkhand, predicting a win with 53 seats, suggesting the ruling coalition could retain power.
7. Dainik Bhaskar suggests a hung assembly in Jharkhand, with the NDA expected to win 37–40 seats and the INDIA bloc 36–39 seats, indicating a narrow margin.
8. Maharashtra’s elections have been complicated by splits in Shiv Sena and NCP factions, with the Mahayuti leveraging welfare schemes like “Ladli Behen” to gain voter support.
9. In Jharkhand, the INDIA bloc banks on welfare measures like the Maiya Samman Yojana and tribal outrage over Hemant Soren’s arrest, while the NDA targets corruption allegations against the ruling government.
10. Historical trends show the JMM-Congress-RJD alliance won 47 seats in Jharkhand in 2019, while the BJP-led NDA dominated Maharashtra, reflecting evolving political trends this time around.
The final results on November 23 will determine whether these exit polls prove accurate or if surprises await in these crucial state elections.