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'Kamala Harris Will Win': Says Poll Prophet Allan Litchman (X image@VP)
Allan Lichtman, who is often known as the polls prophet or the “Nostradamus of US presidential elections”, predicted Kamala Harris to be the winner of the race to White House. Speaking to NDTV, Litchman said Harris will beat republican candidate Trump. Nine out of the ten prediction made by Litchman were correct. He has been predicting the election outcomes since 1984.
As a way to accurately predict the winner to the White House, he had designed a method called as “13 Keys To The White House”, which is considered a groundbreaking method that revolutionized election forecasting.
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According to the method, there a series of true or false questions that are key factors of correct prediction. The questions assess various factors such as party mandate, contest, incumbency, third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, foreign success, social unrest, incumbent charisma and challenger charisma.
Litchman said if six or more keys go against the White House party, they are predicted losers, and if not, they are considered winners. Regarding the upcoming election, Harris has secured eight of the keys to the White House, and Trump only three keys left.
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“They lost the mandate key, which is based on losses in US house election. They have obviously lost the incumbency key with Biden not running. But with the party uniting around Harris, they avoided the loss of the contest key. Finally, the third key that they lost was incumbent charisma key”, Litchman told NDTV. He also added that the Democrats will hold on the White House.
Litchman’s prediction faced a significant test in the tumultuous 2000 election between AL Gore and George W Bush. While Litchman forecasted victory for Gore, Bush became the President, casting a shadow over his prediction.