Will Exit Polls Be True For Delhi Assembly Elections 2025?

New Delhi: People of Delhi cast their votes on Wednesday, and now political observers and voters are eagerly waiting for the result of the high-stakes Assembly Elections in the national capital. Exit polls have started coming out, most of which predict the ouster of decade-long Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) from power.

For Delhi, people saw a fierce three-cornered battle, with the ruling AAP making skyrocketing promises while the BJP and the Congress countered with added guarantees and assurances. While the AAP expressed its hope to return to power with over 55 seats out of 70, the BJP has asserted to capture the city while making aggressive campaigns. The Congress, which has been in an obliterated state during the past two elections, is also of the assertion that it would wrest back the power in the national capital.

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However, most of the exit poll results have foreseen a sweeping victory for the saffron party, with over 40 seats predicted. While the AAP’s seats were seen between 20 and 30, the exit poll results have cornered the Congress with a meagre 3 to 1 seats, foreseeing the continuation of the dismal performance.

Pollster People’s Pulse predicted between 51 to 60 seats for the BJP, suggesting a spectacular victory, reducing AAP to only 10 to 18 seats. Most of the other pollsters, including Matrize, P-Marq, Chanakya Strategies, People’s Insight, Poll Diary, and JVC, have forecast a comfortable victory for the saffron party, with above 39 seats. While most of them predicted 0 to 1 or 2 for the Congress, only one pollster predicted at least 2 to 3 for the grand old party.

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Notably, two exit polls—Mind Blink and Wee Preside—predicted a landslide victory for the ruling AAP. To form a government, a party needs to win 36 seats out of the total 70. If the exit poll results are proved right, the saffron party would be coming back to power after 27 years in the national capital.

Exit polls, though most of them give a resonance of the ground reality and an analysis of the election, many times they prove to be quite opposite to the actual result. Even during the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and the following Haryana assembly elections, the exit polls drastically contrasted with the poll outcome, providing an impression of it being perhaps far from the truth.