Exit polls predict a strong performance for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Uttar Pradesh for the 2024 general election. Pollster PMARQ forecasts that the PM Modi-led NDA will win 69 seats, while the opposition alliance Congress-led INDIA is expected to secure 11 seats.

Matrize projects the NDA will win between 69 and 74 seats, with INDIA capturing around 6 to 11 seats.

Similarly, D-Dynamics predicts 69 seats for the NDA and 11 for INDIA. News Nation suggests the NDA will win 67 seats, INDIA will secure 10 seats, and 3 seats may go to other parties.

The 2024 general election in Uttar Pradesh was conducted in seven phases from April 19 to June 1 to elect 80 members of the 18th Lok Sabha, the lower house of Indian Parliament. The results are scheduled to be announced on June 4.

In the previous 2019 parliamentary elections, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won 63 seats, while the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) secured 9, the Samajwadi Party (SP) captured 5, and the Congress managed to win just 1 seat. In 2019, BSP, SP and RLD were in alliance. In this election, RLD, a major force that can swing caste votes, has joined NDA, and BSP is contesting alone. BSP going alone, according to reports, is expected to help the INDIA alliance.

The BJP’s dominance in Uttar Pradesh has been significant, with the 2019 victory marking their second consecutive landslide win under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership.

In the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP achieved a sweeping victory in Uttar Pradesh. The party won 71 out of the 80 seats in the state. Additionally, its ally Apna Dal (Sonelal) secured 2 seats, bringing the NDA’s total to 73 seats in Uttar Pradesh.

The SP managed to win 5 seats, while the Congress won 2 seats, in Raebareli and Amethi.